Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 14.435168 16.831656 19.442074 22.488848 25.939058 29.716492 34.156517
2025-06-01 10.018480 13.186608 16.997706 21.881535 27.931414 35.134493 44.309533
2025-06-08 7.241235 10.534888 14.829926 20.756380 28.623825 38.600913 52.083653
2025-06-15 6.080853 9.596417 14.486994 21.638242 31.650194 44.965708 63.767267
2025-06-22 5.097820 8.663372 13.920429 22.011874 33.875976 50.310917 74.393991
2025-06-29 4.156487 7.589447 12.941114 21.586183 34.818160 53.845539 82.680727
2025-07-06 3.331015 6.529664 11.795260 20.706447 34.912916 56.069367 89.146472
2025-07-13 3.065097 6.358747 12.019235 21.952543 38.293141 63.285428 103.290518
2025-07-20 2.809053 6.154503 12.145157 23.023798 41.451362 70.339752 117.592302
2025-07-27 2.522837 5.839178 12.025809 23.645466 43.898575 76.415721 130.720243
2025-08-03 2.214283 5.421613 11.658912 23.777195 45.508177 81.229402 142.111700
2025-08-10 1.883388 4.893704 11.008065 23.310768 46.023598 84.262110 150.786706
2025-08-17 1.563536 4.350316 10.298134 22.746599 46.484888 87.518217 160.529259
2025-08-24 1.288062 3.851556 9.612202 22.166493 46.906441 90.820927 170.733026
2025-08-31 1.019792 3.299171 8.714235 21.034175 46.165836 92.025329 177.436559
2025-09-07 0.933053 3.196914 8.794955 21.927175 49.375790 100.439324 197.087467
2025-09-14 0.825648 3.009759 8.646751 22.305279 51.591304 107.178241 214.156715
2025-09-21 0.691240 2.705540 8.162869 21.874719 52.119676 110.811955 225.850052
2025-09-28 0.558469 2.363629 7.518798 20.984822 51.592927 112.389211 233.849265
2025-10-05 0.532675 2.366680 7.776432 22.245302 55.733434 123.184118 259.480628
2025-10-12 0.501222 2.341725 7.953773 23.328833 59.571215 133.600202 284.904675
2025-10-19 0.456706 2.256442 7.948487 23.957587 62.450990 142.277111 307.442542
2025-10-26 0.402140 2.115298 7.757546 24.090815 64.222577 148.823019 326.198517